The imminent fall of Gwa in southern Rakhine State will expose Ayeyarwady Region to resistance attacks, even if the Arakan Army decides not to advance.
Regime officials launched a diplomatic blitz this year, turning to China, India and even Iran for support as it lost more territory to a nationwide uprising.
The outbreak has reportedly killed two people and infected 300 in Shwe Kokko, in Karen State's Myawaddy Township, across the border from Thailand's Tak.
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